Tiger’s a Player(s Champion), So Spin It Forward

Bloomberg.com

Bloomberg.com

Stop me if you’ve heard this in 2013, Tiger Woods won on the PGA Tour. He held off David Lingmerth, Jeff Maggert and Sergio Garcia (actually, Sergio held himself off). Tiger’s won 4 out of 7 starts on Tour, the only player with multiple wins on Tour in ’13. Woods’ win was his 78th all time, only four behind Sam Snead’s mark of 82. Let’s spin this forward, here are the five questions I have after Tiger’s second Player Championship.

  1. Will Tiger Woods catch Sam Snead’s record for most career PGA Tour wins in 2013?

Yes. He needs four more to match Snead. With Memorial (5 wins), AT&T National (defending champion, his own tournament) and the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational (7 wins). There are 3 wins to pencil in. With four other majors and the Fed Ex Cup playoffs one would think he will pull a win in at least one of those big tournaments.

2.  Will Tiger Woods pass Sam Snead’s record for most career PGA Tour wins in 2013?

No. This is a big ask, even though it’s only one more win. Getting to 83 career wins means Tiger matches his 9 wins in a season from 2000. He certainly has time on his side as it’s only mid-May. There are roughly tournaments remaining this season that Woods normally plays in. Passing Snead means he wins half of his remaining tournaments. Although Tiger seems to be back in the aura of nothing is impossible for him.

3.  Will Tiger Woods win the US Open?

Yes. After the way he won at Sawgrass, using fairway woods off the tee for precision off the tee on a short-ish course, coupled with his renewed lights-out putting there is no way to pick against him. Not to mention that he has his stinger shot that he will also use off the tee.

4.  Will Tiger Woods win more than one major in 2013?

Yes. He will also win the British Open at Muirfield using the same strategy he employed at Sawgrass and will employ at Merion.

5.  Will Tiger Woods reach 90 wins by the time he turns 40?

Let’s work backward. Woods hits the big 4-0 on December 30, 2015, about two-and-a-half years from now. He needs 12 victories to hit 90. If you throw out 2010 and 2011 when Woods was immersed in scandal, swing changes and injuries, Tiger has averaged 4.875 wins per season. Multiply that by 2.5 and you get 12.1875. So Tiger’s career average says yes, he will hit 90 on the number when he hits 40.

Of course, all of this is based on assumptions. Five years ago, when Tiger won his last major, no one could have made a connection between Tiger and a fire hydrant, aside from the red color. The biggest question though is when (if?) he gets the number that means everything to him, 19.

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